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Ryan Lundquist is a Certified Residential real estate appraiser serving the Greater Sacramento Region. He is FHA approved and does work for brokers, banks, governmental agencies, Realtors, attorneys, home owners and more. Ryan speaks some Spanish too.

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The material and information contained on this website is the copyrighted property of Ryan Lundquist and Lundquist Appraisal Company. Content on this website may not be reproduced or republished without prior written permission from Ryan Lundquist. The information on this website is meant soley for educational purposes and is not intended in any way to support an opinion of value for your appraisal needs or any sort of value conclusion for a loan, litigation or any other potential appraisal-related purpose. The material found on this website is meant for casual reading only. For more detailed market analysis to be used for an appraisal report or any appraisal-related purpose, please contact us for more information. Thank you.

The Lundquist Appraisal Blog is taking an exciting step. We have officially moved all content to a new location with a new design too. All articles will now be published at www.SacramentoAppraisalBlog.com.  

wemovedOur new website is really an opportunity to create a domain that will compliment our main appraisal website as well as offer an easy-to-remember domain name. All original content developed here has already been transferred to the new site so that articles will be searchable in one place still. You can expect quality writing, in-depth market research, conversations about real estate and life, podcasts, and other local stuff we like to talk about.

Thank you to so many for following along and making this past year a successful beginning. Please join us on the new site and tell your friends. You can subscribe by RSS or get posts delivered to you by email.

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Rancho Murieta is a CDP in Sacramento County off of Jackson Road and has somewhat of a secluded feel due to its location miles away from other suburban tracts. The community consists of two separate parts called Rancho Murieta North and Rancho Murieta South. Rancho Murieta is a retirement community to many, and is also attractive to many families. As of November 2009 Rancho Murieta has the second lowest unemployment rate in Sacramento County at 3.9% per EDD (Gold River is 2.1%).

What’s been happening the Rancho Murieta real estate market? Below are two graphs consisting of all single family detached sales and listings in Rancho Murieta per Sacramento area Metrolist. What do you see? Does anything stand out to you?

Rancho Murieta Sales from 2007 through 2009 by Lundquist Appraisal Company Trend Graph

Rancho Murieta Sales and Pendings and Listings During 2009 by Lundquist Appraisal Company

I’d be very curious to hear from home owners in Rancho Murieta about their community. What do you enjoy most about RM? What do you think your neighborhood has to offer to prospective buyers? How has Rancho Murieta fared during the housing bubble burst? What sort of impact do you think the foundation troubles in Rancho Murieta South has had on the RM market?

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Rancho Murieta Real Estate Market Trends

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Here is a brief podcast recap of the 2009 real estate market (in general) in the Greater Sacramento region. What will 2010 have in store for us? Do you think the market will surge, stabilize or decline? Do you feel like now is a good time to buy? Your comments are welcome below.

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Recap of 2009 Sacramento Area Real Estate Market

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I’m wrapping up an appraisal report tonight for an investor in Carmichael. While crunching numbers and running data, I decided to do a little comparison of sales in Carmichael and Fair Oaks. So I graphed all detached single family residential sales (from MLS) over the past three years and came up with the following trend graph. I only included sales less than 1.5 million since there are a very limited number of properties above that level.

All sales over the past 36 months in Carmichael are listed below in blue and all sales in Fair Oaks are displayed in green.

Sales in Fair Oaks and Carmichael in Sacramento County Trend Graph by Lundquist Appraisal Company

It’s interesting to see an overall common trend for both Carmichael & Fair Oaks, though not ultimately surprising since the communities tend to overall have a somewhat similar appeal in the marketplace (though Fair Oaks has a slight edge as local Realtor Nate Sisam mentions below). Despite there being niches in both communities that may be superior to other areas, and a slightly higher median price level in Fair Oaks, it seems that the ups and downs of the real estate market over the past few years have been taken in stride for both of these communities. In fact, the median price level for Fair Oaks over the past year was only 2% higher than Carmichael during the first 6 months of the year, and 4% higher during the past two consecutive quarters. For reference, the latest unemployment rate in Carmichael as of November 2009 is 9.2%, whereas the unemployment rate in Fair Oak si 7.0%. The rate of unemployment in Sacramento County as a whole for November 2009 is 12.5%.

Sacramento Realtor Nate Sisam gives us further insight:

realtor-nate-sisamFair Oaks and Carmichael are both established neighborhoods that offer people larger than overage lot sizes and diverse architecture. It has always been that Fair Oaks commanded a slightly higher price due to several key elements. Fair Oaks was one of the first established “Country communities” in the 20′s-40′s with a rich history in Olive and Citrus farming. Today that heritage is still evident when looking at property in Fair Oaks. Additionally the Fair Oaks Village brings the community together and adds to the charm of the area. From an accessibility standpoint Fair Oaks is slightly more freeway accessible. I would note that these communities are diverse and that pockets within each of them could be considered equal.

What do you think of the graph above? Does anything stand out to you? If you live or work in Carmichael or Fair Oaks, what do you enjoy about the community? If you had your choice to live in either of these areas, which would you choose? Comments are welcome below.

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Riding the Same Wave in Carmichael & Fair Oaks

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I had an appraisal inspection this week in the Glen Clove area of Vallejo, and I snapped the following photos with my mobile phone. These shots overlook the Carquinez Straight and Carquinez Bridge. The first picture was taken at a higher elevation, the second was at water level, and the third was at the end of the Vista Del Mar gated community overlooking the Glen Cove Marina.

If you live in the Glen Cove area, what is it you enjoy about your community? What drew you to purchase a home in the neighborhood?

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www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Carquinez Bridge & Glen Clove in Vallejo: Photos from the Field

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Here is a quick trend graph for you of all sales in the city of Fairfield over the past 12 months (red dots) as well as all current pendings (blue dots). What do you notice? Does anything stand out to you? Can you decipher any citywide trends based on this scatter graph? By the way, the unemployment rate in Fairfield as of November 2009 is 13.1%.

City of Fairfield Sales Past Year and Current Pendings Graph by Lundquist Appraisal Company

I know citywide graphs are not as descriptive as neighborhood-specific graphs or even if we looked at a specific square footage or age range in Fairfield. Just take the graph above for what it’s worth. It’s interesting to see six of the highest sales of the year over the past six months. Does it seem too that the lowest end of the market is a tad higher than the lowest point during the beginning of the year?

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog City of Fairfield Recent Sales and Pendings

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What is the substance in the pictures below? How would you describe it if you were telling a friend about the images? Have you ever encountered a property like this before? If you are a real estate agent, have you sold something similar? If you were planning to purchase a fixer-upper in the Sacramento Region (or elsewhere), would a blackish-greenish substance like this deter you from entering contract?

When appraisers come across issues like this, one would think we’d simply call the substance “mold”, but that’s not the case. The truth is that since a real estate appraiser is not a fungus or mold specialist, it’s important to not speak definitively about something that another licensed professional should be the expert on. Moreover, what if the substance was not just mold caused by excessive moisture damage, but ”toxic mold”?

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So what do appraisers say when encountering properties with an issue like this? Well, until we get clarification or a definitive pronouncement from a licensed mold professional, we simply describe the substance in words similar to “an unknown blackish-greenish substance”. When we do find out what the substance is, then we can better determine the impact on market value depending on cost-to-cure and the reaction in the marketplace to the existence of such a substance.

On Fannie Mae’s 1004 Appraisal Form, real estate appraisers are asked to identify any physical deficiencies or adverse conditions that might affect the livability, soundness or structural integrity of a property. The blackish-greenish substance in the photos above might potentially impact livability, right?

For further reading on mold, see the following links. You are welcome to suggest a link or share a story above in the comments sections.  Thank you to an appraiser colleague who provided these images to me out of his work file.

Mold Links:

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog An Unknown Blackish-Greenish Substance

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Yesterday I wrote about the Plumas Lake real estate market, and since I inspected a property in Olivehurst today (just north of Plumas Lake), I figured I’d include a few supplementary images of the area.

This photo was taken today in the southern portion of Plumas Lake (Cresleigh Meadows / Plumas Ranch). Vacant residential lots are commonplace these days and seen in the Plumas Lake area and throughout the Sacramento Region in many cities and counties.This vacant lot is located right across the street from a brand new park, and I loved the contrast of residential cables, brown grass and grazing sheep. 

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Many newly constructed communites have “coming soon” signs for future residential and commercial construction. In general there is not enough profitability for local builders at this time, so postponed construction during the economic downturn is very standard protocol. Just think of how many jobs (and excited residents) there will be when the economy turns around and building can resume.

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www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Sheep in Plumas Lake: Photos from the Field

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The Sacramento real estate market has been hit hard over the past several years, and Plumas Lake has not escaped the damage either. Plumas Lake is a community located in Yuba County about 30 miles north of Sacramento and 10 miles south of Marysville. This neighborhood was built out over the past six years, with the bulk of houses being constructed between 2003-2005.

plPlumas Lake is a suburban community, but it does have somewhat of a secluded feel because of the lack of commercial property and conveniences within the immediate neighborhood. The plan was to have developed many commercial parcels by now, but unfortunately little progress has been made beyond a Walgreens. By the way, kudos to Walgreens because they also built a store in the Anatolia area of Rancho Cordova, which faced a similar situation (a new neighborhood was built, but commercial construction lagged far behind residential construction due to the market bubble burst).

Anyway, let’s take a look at recent real estate market trends in the Plumas Lake neighborhood. The graphs below depict the past three years of sales, past one year of sales and current listings and pendings. 

Plumas Lake Real Estate Market Trends Past 3 Years of Sales Lundquist Appraisal Company

Plumas Lake Real Estate Market Trends

Listings and Pendings in Plumas Lake CA by Lundquist Appraisal Company

What do you see in the graphs above? Does anything stand out to you? If you are a home owner in Plumas Lake, what is it you enjoy about your community? If you are considering buying a property in Plumas Lake, what is it that draws you to the neighborhood?

Your comments are welcome below. Please also contact me if you have any questions or a need for more developed research or my appraisal services. 916-595-3735 or ryan@lundquistcompany.com.

NOTE: Plumas Lake is located in Yuba County and so data is interesting. Since both Sacramento MLS and Yuba/Sutter MLS carry data for the Plumas Lake area, it’s important to look at and compare both sets of data to make sure to analyze all market activity. With that being said, the graphs above are based on Sacramento MLS for ease of use. Maybe a future post will analyze and compare both systems.

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog Taking a Dip in the Plumas Lake Real Estate Market

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I’m disheartened to hear stats on President Obama’s “Making Home Affordable” program. So far it doesn’t look like the program is working very well (at all). A CNN article last week stated ”The administration projected that between half and three-quarters of applicants would have new mortgages at this point. As of the end of November, the number is 4.3 percent.” That’s not good.

In light of this less-than-wonderful news, I thought it would be interesting to use the “Obama Cam” app on my mobile phone to snap a few images of some local REO and Short Sale properties in the Sacramento area. The “Obama Cam” application overlays an image of President Obama (17 to choose from) on any picture taken with my mobile phone (an Android G1).

These images are in no way meant to belittle the President, make a political statement for any political party, or even rant about the Making Home Affordable program. There is actually a deep element here for me since the shots juxtapose governmental programs with real life local distressed properties. I’m reminded of the ever-present struggle in today’s economy for so many households, that recovery is going to take a long time, and also that good intentions in Washington DC do not necessarily translate to good results on “Main Street”.

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What do these images evoke in you? Why is the “Making Home Affordable” program not yet working as it should? Please give your two cents and feel free to share your experience. By the way, do you have an app like this on your phone? Your comments are welcome below.

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog ”Obama Cam” Photos in Sacramento

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While on an appraisal inspection in Los Banos this morning I made a pit stop to a local “Fotomat” style coffee shop to re-fuel. I’ve noticed this little java hub over the past several years, but never actually stopped, so I figured I would become a customer today.

FotomatI don’t know about you, but little drive-through businesses like this remind me of the small blue and yellow photo huts in years past. Do you remember “Fotomat“? Though I doubt Cafe E Via was formerly a Fotomat (too big), this shop is definitely similar in concept. In fact, when I see old Fotomats from time to time, it seems the most predominant use is a coffee shop. Maybe that’s the highest and best use? What do you think? What is the most successful type of business you’ve seen using a former Fotomat building? Did you used to shop at Fotomat?

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www.lundquistcompany.com/blog “Fotomat” Coffee Shops: Photos from the Field

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I’d like to take a few moments to reflect on my favorite appraisal assignments of the year. Maybe I’m jumping the gun a bit since 2009 is not quite over, but that’s okay. I won’t get specific about addresses or location because I take client confidentiality very seriously.

Top 10 Favorite Appraisal Assignments of 2009

  1. water-bill-few-easy-steps-200X200Facuets Left On:  I appraised a bank-owned property in Solano County. It was a very nice property, but unfortunately all faucets and spickets were left on (with clogged drains), so there was extensive water damage. It was unclear if the damage was done by the disgruntled home owner or a vandal.
  2. oak park kj imagery former starbucksOak Park Fixers:  This year I appraised quite a few fixer properties in the Oak Park area of Sacramento that were purchased by an investment group, re-habbed, and then re-sold on the open market to first-time home buyers. It’s nice to be a part of a project where the end result is good for the community.
  3. 008Vacant Subdivision Land in Sacramento:  Acting as a property tax consultant, I valued two parcels in Sacramento County under the supervision of an AG (Commercial Appraiser). These sites were scheduled to be finished out as a subdivision, but then the market burst and subdivision building virtually stopped.
  4. imagesCA9RGC87Spring Water & Cesspool:  I appraised a house in Placer County that was on spring water and a cesspool (as opposed to a well and septic tank). Do you think this would have an impact on market value? How much of a price discount would it take for the typical buyer to look over an atypical feature such as this to purchase the property?
  5. Dilapidated Fourplex:  This property was interesting because it had repeated damage from squatters. I had to climb through a window to inspect one of the units too, and I cut my finger on broken glass (that made me remember this property even more).
  6. fixer-property-lundquist-appraisalUpgraded Duplex:  The residential-income market in Sacramento saw a huge decline in value over recent years. All of the latest sales in this particular neighborhood were fixers. So what is a bright and shiny upgraded non-bank-owned duplex worth in a marketplace of REO fixers?
  7. city-thumbnailRancho Cordova Property:  I’ll be honest. Since my office is located in Rancho Cordova, it sure is nice to get local assignments in the same city. I don’t mind at all driving to other counties, but it’s a great thing to travel a mile from the office to take care of business. My business in Rancho Cordova definitely increased this year.  
  8. Divorce Appraisals:  I do work for home owners and attorneys during a divorcedifficult time of life. It was a pleasure to provide excellent service to home owners in need this year and at least make the appraisal process smooth in the midst of a challenging situation. I grew up in a divorced home and I know it’s not an easy time of life.
  9. Pre-Listing Appraisals for Local Agent:  I am a realtor logohuge fan of working with local Realtors and it was a pleasure to establish a new working relationship with a particular agent who began to rely upon my knowledge and services this year. This year I had more referral work from Realtors and that’s a wonderful thing!!! I am also really grateful to be more connected to some stellar local real estate agents on Facebook and Twitter too.
  10. imagesCA42V1MYRipon New Subdivision:  There was nothing terribly complex about this assignment, but I really felt like I did a solid job on this appraisal in Stanislaus County and my client was very happy with the end-product. It’s just one of those I remember putting in a good amount of time and really enjoying the finished product.

I appreciate all my clients and colleagues who made 2009 a fantastic year. This has been a trying year for the appraisal industry in light of HVCC, but I am grateful nonetheless for all the good things that happened this year. Thank you.

If you are a real estate agent or home owner, what was the best experience you had this year with an appraiser? If you are a real estate appraiser reading this post, what were some of your favorite assignments this year.

www.lundquistcompany.com/blog My Top 10 Favorite Appraisals of 2009

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